Saturday, May 7, 2011

Intelligent Choice selections for the 2011 Kentucky Derby

Race 1     1 Mile Alw 25000s 3yo

IC1          #6 Mississippi Money
IC2          #2 Wicked Dreams
IC3          #5 Southern Ocean


Race 2      1 1/16th Mile Alw 51000N1X 3yo +

IC1          #4 Wordly
IC2          #2 Bind
IC3          #6 El Grayling

Race 3     6F MSW 49K 3yo +

IC1          #4 C J Russell
IC2          #2 Golden Triumph
IC3          #6 Hot Pursuit

Race 4      1 1/16th Mile (Turf) (F)OC 80K/N3X 3yo +

IC1          #8 Snow Top Mountain
IC2          #7 Perfect Shirl
IC3          #10 Silent Candy

Race 5     7F OC 75K/N1X 3yo

IC1          #3 Fusa Code
IC2          #5 Goodtimehadbyall
IC3          #9 The Man Uptown

Race 6      5F Turf (Turf) Sprint G3 3yo +

IC1          #5 Chamberlain Bridge
IC2          #8 Bridgetown
IC3          #2 Regally Ready
IC4          #3 Custom for Carlos

Race 7     7F (F)Humana Distaff G1 4yo +

IC1          #7 Hilda's Passion
IC2          #4 Amen Hallelujah
IC3          #6 Twelve Twenty Two
IC4          #3 Evening Jewel

Race 8      1 Mile (Turf) (F) Distaff Turf Mile 3yo +

IC1          #6   Aruna
IC2          #11 Never Retreat
IC3          #8   Aviate (GB)

Race 9     7F The Churchill Downs G2 4yo +

IC1          #12 Here Comes Ben
IC2          #3   Apriority
IC3          #5   Mythical Power
IC4          #2   Smiling Tiger
IC5          #4   Captain Cherokee
IC6          #1   Aikenite
IC7          #6   Capt. Candyman Can

Race 10    1 1/8 Mile (Turf) The Turf Classic G1 3yo +

IC1          #13 Battle of Hastings (GB)
IC2          #6   Smart Bid
IC3          #8   Doubles Partner
IC4          #7   Get Stormy
IC5          #5   Prince Will I Am
IC6          #4   Moryba (Brz)
IC7          #1   Little Mike

Race 11   1 1/4 Mile The Kentucky Derby G1 3yo

IC1          #15 Midnight Interlude
IC2          #4   Stay Thirsty
IC3          #17 Soldat
IC4          #8   Dialed In
IC5          #3   Twice the Appeal
IC6          #1   Archarcharch
IC7          #19 Nehro
IC8          #16 Animal Kingdom

Race 12   7F Alw 53500N2X 3yo +

IC1          #9   Streakin' Mohican
IC2          #11 Archie Trucker
IC3          #3   The Program
IC4          #4   De Price

Race 13   1 1/16 Mile MSW 49K 3yo +

IC1          #4 Scuff
IC2          #3 Shrill
IC3          #1 Gentle Tap
IC4          #2 Shotgun Shine
IC5          #5 Totemtale

The IC's are complete so it's time to go over the day, starting in the early portion of the day. The first play of the day looks to be Mr. Baffert in the third race with the first time starter out of El Corredor for Mike Pegram, owner of previous Kentucky Derby winner Silver Charm. I also like IC1 in race 5, Fusa Code, trained by Steve Asmussen. He had a very nice run back in November of 2010 here at Churchill Downs. He drops out of the G3 Sunland Derby into a nice spot. Then the day begins to get a little tricky. The multi race investments in race 6 starts with a toughie, but if one played a few in the first leg, singled IC1 Hilda's Passion in the 7th, to the IC's in race 8, you've got a nice chance at a decent payout. The G2 CD looks tough, as does the G1 Turf Classic. Tough to play these into the Derby. However, looking at it from a bit of a contrarian point of view, one could really spread those 2 legs and make a stand in the Derby with Midnight Interlude at a price. One could also spread out both the G1 Turf Classic, the G1 Kentucky Derby, and make a stand on IC1 in the 12th. There are many possibilities. I am mainly focusing on the Derby, and will follow these thoughts with my patented "Trifecta Billy" 50 cent trifecta tickets!

2011 Kentucky Derby "Trifecta Billy" 50 cent trifecta tickets.

50 cent tri: 
15,16/15,16/All                                                                         $17

50 cent tri: 
15,16/All/15,16                                                                         $17

50 cent tri:
All/15,16/15,16                                                                         $17

50 cent tri: 
15/1,2,3,4,8,11,13,14,16,17,19/1,2,3,4,8,11,13,14,16,17,19   $45

50 cent tri:
1,2,3,4,8,11,13,14,16,17,19/15/1,2,3,4,8,11,13,14,16,17,19    $45

$50 WPS:          15                                                                   $150

Thanks again to DailyDub for all of his contributions here. Thanks for making the site so damn amazing. I know the Derby will be as well, because it always is. Good Luck To Everyone!!!!!!!

1 comment:

  1. What a day for the system so far today...IC1 wins the second, third and fourth races paying $7.80 then $3.80 then $5.40 as IC2 gets race five at 10-1 paying $22.60. The IC's have been lighting up the board so far with an IC1-IC2 exacta in the second, an IC1-IC3 exacta in the third and the IC2-IC1 exacta in the fifth that paid $76.50 on a $1 exacta box.

    DailyDub

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